How a Wave of Minority Support Propelled Trump to Victory

Donald Trump’s victory is due in large part to his massive increase in support among racial and ethnic minority groups.

In 2020, Trump won a third of Latinos, including 36 percent of Latino men. This time around, Trump ran away with 45 percent of the Latino vote, which now included a majority — 54 percent — of Latino men.

The share of Trump’s non-white vote jumped six points in 2024; in fact, Trump gained with every racial demographic except white voters.

The Israel-Gaza war also played a big factor. In Dearborn, MI, which has proportionally the highest Muslim population in the country, Trump only received 11 percent of the vote in 2020, compared to 88 percent for Biden. Now, Trump won with 43 percent of the vote, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein took considerable support away from Harris due to her strong pro-Palestine stances.

In Philadelphia, 25 percent of black men appear to have voted for Trump — a 13-point swing away from the Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, just four years ago.

Young men also propelled Trump to victory. In the last election, males under 30 voted for Biden by nine points in Pennsylvania. On Tuesday, they shifted dramatically to Trump, breaking for him by 18 points.

Men under 30 in North Carolina and Michigan broke for Donald Trump with double-digit support, according to exit polls.

Young women favored Harris nationwide by a significant margin. But overall, the Democratic Party is hemorrhaging with young men.