☕ Daily Brief: Trump vs Harris: The Economy

Also, GOP Senate candidates climb

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WHAT WE'RE WATCHING

📈 Republican Senate candidates are gaining steam. With Pennsylvania’s Senate race now considered a "toss-up,” GOP challenger Dave McCormick has steadily improved his chances of winning the seat. Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin are now trending in favor of Republicans, following weeks where Democrats appeared to be ahead.

🗳 Michigan's election results may be delayed for days. Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said that the battleground state aims to have its results counted by the “end of the day on Wednesday” — an entire 24 hours after voting ends. Meanwhile, Republicans have filed a lawsuit challenging Benson's certification process for absentee ballots.

💊 Biden-Harris pushes expanded birth control ahead of election. A new rule proposed by the White House would force private health insurers to cover over-the-counter contraception, like pills and condoms. Kamala Harris, who’s made “reproductive rights” a key campaign issue, claims Republicans are “attacking reproductive freedom at every turn.”

🇺🇸 Swing-state Democrats scramble to align with Trump. Facing tough reelections, Sens. Bob Casey (D-PA) and Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) are touting their alignment with Trump's policies to appeal to working-class voters. Despite previously attacking Trump, they now acknowledge that his economic approach resonates more with their voters than Kamala Harris’ progressive policies.

WHAT WE’RE HEARING
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) believes Republicans will win the House, Senate, and White House.

  • Progressive commentator Cenk Uygur defended Donald Trump’s McDonalds visit, calling it a “home run.”

  • Gov. Ron DeSantis said that Florida’s abortion ballot question is written to “deceive as many voters as possible.”

  • First Lady Jill Biden conceded that her husband dropping out of the presidential race was “the right call.”

IN THE LOOP
  • A 2,000-person migrant caravan is making its way to the US southern border.

  • Jewish-American groups are urging US citizens in Israel to vote absentee.

  • Kamala Harris raised over $220 million in September, over three times more than Trump.

  • Arnon Mishkin, the head of Fox News’ decision desk, believes the election results may not be known for days.

  • The most clicked link in our last newsletter was Lizzo declaring if Kamala Harris wins, “the whole country will be like Detroit.”

MY THOUGHTS

140 Reasons Americans Will Vote For Trump

Good morning. Four years ago, it felt risky to support Trump out in the open. But things have changed. Look at Elon Musk — he backed Hillary in 2016, then Biden in 2020. And today? Enough said.

Back then, I was still in tech, using my spare hours to build what would become Upward News. One of my first break-out pieces was a comprehensive list of Trump’s accomplishments from his first term.

Some people just couldn’t understand why anyone would vote for him, so I spent weeks digging deep, compiling over 140 reasons why Americans stood with Trump.

We’re republishing it today. Read it here, and share it with friends →

WASHINGTON

Trump vs Harris: The Economy

  • Trump's plan centers on bringing jobs back to the US through tariffs, especially against China

  • Union workers are shifting toward Trump, while Democrats embrace being the party of elites

  • Harris promotes targeted, equity-driven policies and expanded government programs

Where Trump stands

With just two weeks until the election, the economy remains the top issue for voters.

Donald Trump has laid out his economic vision, which remains firmly rooted in his "America First" approach, specifically aiming to bring back manufacturing jobs to the US. This has been a key focus since his first term, and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-OH), has been a leading advocate for revitalizing America's manufacturing base.

Trump’s proposed 20 percent tariff on all imports — and a 60 percent tariff on Chinese goods —intends to end America’s dependency on cheap foreign labor. Tariffs resonate with voters who have felt abandoned by globalist economic policies, especially in blue-collar and union-heavy states like Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Donald Trump recently secured an endorsement from Pennsylvania steelworkers, with one worker stating that Trump "saved the steel industry with tariffs.”

The media often cites that the trade deficit soared under Trump’s presidency despite his campaign promise to reduce it. While the overall deficit increased during his tenure, America’s trade deficit with China fell sharply by the end of his term, which, per Trump, was an important metric of success.

As president, Trump oversaw a robust economy that saw 50-year lows in unemployment rates, particularly for black Americans, Hispanics, and women. The stock market also reached record highs, and economic growth averaged around three percent, a notable improvement from previous years. Further, the US became a net exporter of oil and natural gas for the first time in decades.

Many have attributed Trump’s economic growth to his focus on deregulation, corporate tax cuts, and his confidence boosting in US markets. Although critics claim these policies only favor the wealthy, historically, reducing regulatory hurdles and lowering taxes has been an effective way to stimulate the economy. Similar strategies were key to the economic boom during Ronald Reagan’s presidency.

Where Harris stands

Kamala Harris has been critical of Trump’s tariffs, labeling them a "Trump sales tax" that harms consumers by raising prices. However, under the Biden-Harris administration, many of Trump’s tariffs remained in place, an acknowledgment that some of these policies were actually effective in protecting American industries.

She also touts raising the child tax credit to $6,000, an idea Vance recommended just days prior. She also pushed to end taxes on tips in the service industry two months after Trump did so.

Harris is additionally trying to position herself as a champion of small businesses, but voters remain unconvinced, with Donald Trump leading her by nine points on economic trust. She promises policies like a $50,000 startup tax deduction and more venture capital, yet under the Biden-Harris administration, small businesses have struggled with inflation and rising costs.

In a presidential administration, Harris would likely promote economic policies focusing on “equity” — targeting racial and ethnic minorities and women — rather than universal economic growth. Her "Opportunity Agenda for Black Men," which she recently released, offers up to $20,000 in forgivable loans for black entrepreneurs.

While Harris has sympathized with voters over the high cost of living, during her time as vice president, she pushed through the nearly $2 trillion American Rescue Plan. The 2021 bill has been considered a major catalyst for current inflation.

Misrepresented in the media

The media downplays Trump’s strong appeal to the working class, and labor unions in particular. Union workers, many of whom have traditionally supported Democrats, are increasingly aligning with Trump because of his commitment to using tariffs to protect American jobs.

Trump often invokes former President William McKinley for using tariffs in the 1890s, pointing to their success in making the US “probably the wealthiest it ever was.”

This shift has led some of the country’s largest unions to hold back from endorsing Harris, despite their past support for Democratic presidential candidates. While the media continues to frame the GOP as the party of the wealthy, in reality, the GOP has become the new party of the working class while Democrats’ constituency has increasingly been well-to-do white voters.

The media often misrepresents Trump as disconnected from working-class voters while portraying Democrats as their champions. In reality, Democrats have increasingly catered to elites, as seen in events like Joe Biden charging up to $500,000 for tickets to a New York City with Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, and a selection of celebrities.

Why it matters

The US economy stands at a critical juncture, with Trump and Harris offering starkly different approaches. Trump's tariffs aim to bring jobs back to America, revitalize manufacturing, and protect national security, even if some argue they increase prices for consumers.

Harris focuses on equity-driven policies and government programs, which could fail to ensure economic growth, as many government programs have. Ultimately, this election will determine whether the US pursues a vision of self-sufficiency under Trump or a more government-led approach under Harris.

Professor Amy Wax calls out higher education’s free speech double standard

After years of coming under fire from the media and her own university, Professor Wax was suspended for supposedly “making discriminatory and disparaging statements” toward racial minorities. Her remarks, however, tell a different story.

On the university’s selective free speech enforcement:

"If there’s a standard for 'inequitably targeted disrespect,' it should apply to everyone.

Yet, comments about Jews go unpunished while mine are deemed offensive. It’s clear Penn is being inconsistent and discriminatory."

On the erosion of free speech values among students:

"Fewer students value free expression today. Far-left progressive ideologies and the cult of diversity have eroded their commitment to core democratic principles like robust debate and seeking truth."

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OUR QUESTION TO YOU

📊 Will Republicans sweep the House, Senate, and White House?

Poll results will be in tomorrow's newsletter.

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

POLL RESULTS FROM YESTERDAY

Do you think Donald Trump can secure over 15 percent of black voters?

🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 👍 Yes (991)

⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 👎 No (25)

⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🤔 Unsure (64)

👍 Yes: “60 years of failed promises. Waking up to the truth.” — G.S.

👎 No: “When he doesn't, you should revisit this, so that this massive majority of people who think he will achieve this can examine their worldview. — Cory

🤔 Unsure: “I genuinely don't care. This demographic nonsense will be the death of this country.” — Anonymous

🤔 Unsure: You can never trust the polls!” — Jim

1,080 votes
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Today’s newsletter was written by Brandon Goldman and Ari David.