_WHAT’S HAPPENING_
Mainstream political coverage has been sounding alarms that Republicans face a potential bloodbath in November's midterms, with President Trump's low approval ratings and special election losses signaling a looming Democratic wave. National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) even warned fellow GOP senators this week that the party faces significant headwinds in defending its 53-47 Senate majority.
Yet, the electoral map has fundamentally changed since the 2018 midterms — the last one when Trump was in power. Competitive districts have shrunk dramatically, and Democrats remain deeply unpopular despite their momentum. With both parties facing serious vulnerabilities, the midterms may be far more competitive than the dominant narrative suggests.
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